Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (65-55) and Los Angeles Dodgers (72-46) meet Wednesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s break down the BetMGM Sportsbook lines around the Brewers vs. Dodgers chance and make our special MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Dodgers lead 3-1

Milwaukee had a 4-game winning streak snapped in a 6-2 loss in Tuesday’s streak cap. After knocking off the Dodgers 9-3 on May 8, the Brewers lost 3 straight to the Dodgers and had been outscored 20-5 along the way.

The Dodgers were nearly perfect in August. LA’s triumph on Tuesday marked the club’s 9th in a row. The Dodgers are 13-1 with a 52-game hitting streak since August 1st.

The Brewers on the Dodgers projected kicks

RHP Wade Miley vs. LHP Clayton Kershaw

Miley (6-2, 2.90 ERA) is tabbed for his 16th start of the season. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 77 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 7-3 home loss to Colorado Rockies Aug. 8
• 2023 Road Stats: 4-1, 3.07 ERA in 44 IP in 8 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Dodgers: 1-3, 5.33 ERA in 27 IP (2014-23)
• He has benefited from a .247 batting average on balls in play
• Last vs. LA on May 10 and coughed up 7 ER in 5 IP (3 hours allowed)

Kershaw (10-4, 2.51 ERA) is making his 18th start of the season. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 100 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Thursday
• 2023 home stats: 4-1, 1.71 ERA in 42 IP in 7 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Brewers: 2-1, 3.04 ERA in 26 2/3 IP (2018-23)
• Last faced Milwaukee on May 10 and allowed 1 R in 7 IP (0 BB, 8 K)
• Boosted by a .265 BABIP and 85.3% left-on-base percentage

Brewers at Dodgers odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook. access USA TODAY Sports Scores and the sports betting odds center for a complete list. Lines last updated at 6:32 am. ET.

• Money line: Brewers +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Breweries +1.5 (-115) | Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
• Up/Down (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prophecy

Dodgers 6, Brewers 4

Money line

It’s hard to find value with a public team like the Dodgers on a 9-game winning streak, but the Brewers feel overrated by their record and Los Angeles is impossible in this set.

Milwaukee is averaging 4.31 runs per game (RPG) while allowing 4.26 RPG. The Brewers were fortunate to go 24-10 in 1-round games, and there would probably be some value here other than the juice — but that percentage drops way too much in ours.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers are 32-14 in games decided by 5+ runs. They don’t get involved in many close games and that is especially true late.

Los Angeles has a much better offense. Dodger bats have good high contact and hard contact numbers against Miley.

Consider a partial unit game LOS ANGELES -1.5 (-105). Go fully vested if price improves.

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Give or take

Over is 67-45-6 in Dodger games. The mound matchup has some flawed actual-expected numbers – some luck in the margins – on both sides.

Consider a game of half a unit at OVER 8.5 (-105) with full unit activation at +100 or better.

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